Module 07 / Contract Intelligence·Commercial · Q2 FY26

Every clause, every claim — revenue defended, leakage detected.

Contracts, variations, claims and risks fused from the contract repository, commercial workbench and project controls feed. AI surfaces entitlement that's expiring, claims that are under-quantified and risks that compound.

Active Value
$5.84B+$210M QoQ
62 contracts
Variations Pending
$284M+$48M
47 VOs · avg age 84d
Claims Live
$412M+$62M
$118M recovered YTD
Risk-Adj. Exposure
$186MEV
AI top-of-funnel
Revenue Leakage
$58.4MAI detected
recoverable 30–120d
AI Win-Prob Avg
67%+4 pts
on filed claims
AI Commercial Briefing

Group commercial position carries $5.84B of active contract value with $696M of variations + claims currently in motion. AI has detected $58.4M of recoverable revenue leakage concentrated on three contracts (Riyadh Metro Pkg 3, Duqm Refinery Ph II, Basra Power Block) — 76% of it actionable inside the next 60 days. Eight commercial risks carry $186M of expected-value exposure; the dominant signature is single-event tail risks on Basra (FM + DAB) and unhedged FX. Two near-term filings (DUQ escalation claim and JED scope-creep notice) protect $19.8M of entitlement that expires inside the contractual notice window.

Contract Register · 8 active
value $6440M · VO $334M · claims $344M · recovered $104M
Contract · ClientValueVOsClaimsRecoveredRiskAI Leakage
RYM-P3-2023-01
Riyadh Metro Pkg 3 · Riyadh Development Authority
$1240M$86.4M$124.6M$38.2M
78
82
NEO-SUB-2024-04
NEOM 380kV Substation · NEOM Energy
$480M$28.2M$18.4M$6.4M
64
58
DUQ-REF-2022-02
Duqm Refinery Phase II · Oman Petroleum & Energy
$1480M$94.6M$78.2M$24.6M
71
64
DXB-T4-2023-09
DXB T4 Expansion · Dubai Airports
$940M$42.1M$18.6M$14.2M
38
32
DOH-SWG-2023-06
Doha Sewage Tunnel · Ashghal Public Works
$620M$18.4M$9.2M$4.6M
46
44
JED-APR-2024-02
Jeddah Airport Apron · GACA
$380M$14.8M$6.4M$1.8M
54
48
BAS-PWR-2022-11
Basra Power Block · Iraq Ministry of Electricity
$720M$38.4M$84.2M$12.4M
86
78
SHJ-SMD-2024-08
Sharjah Smart District · Sharjah Urban Planning
$580M$11.2M$4.8M$1.4M
32
28
Top Leakage Contracts
  • Riyadh Metro Pkg 382
    38 unapproved VOs aged > 90d worth $42M
  • Duqm Refinery Phase II64
    Prolongation claim under-prepared
  • Basra Power Block78
    Force majeure / security claim under-monetized
Portfolio Commercial Diagnosis86% conf

Three contracts (Riyadh Pkg 3, Duqm Ph II, Basra Power) carry 74% of risk-adjusted exposure and 81% of detected leakage. The drivers are structurally different: Riyadh = process discipline (aged VOs + retention); Duqm = entitlement-window expiry; Basra = single-event tail risks. Treat them with three different playbooks rather than a single review.